LGBTQ Voters Could Be the Deciding Factor in 2024 Election

As the 2024 U.S. presidential election looms, polling suggests that queer voters could hold the key to victory, particularly in pivotal states like Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Pennsylvania. With Donald Trump and Kamala Harris neck-and-neck, LGBTQ voter turnout could tip the scales. The National Center for Transgender Equality reports that voter participation is particularly robust among transgender individuals. Even in the historically low-turnout 2014 midterm election, around half of transgender respondents had voted, compared to just one-third of the general populace. By 2022, this figure had soared to nearly 75%. LGBTQ voters overwhelmingly lean Democratic, with nearly 60% identifying as Democrats in a 2013 Pew survey. This trend is even more pronounced among transgender voters, with 80% identifying as Democratic or leaning Democratic in a 2015 survey. Exit polls from the 2016 election indicated that almost 80% of LGBTQ+ voters backed Hillary Clinton, while only 14% supported Trump. Looking at the history and the data, the importance of queer voters cannot be understated in this year's election. With polling margins in key states hovering around 2% or less, LGBTQ turnout could be the deciding factor. For instance, in Georgia, where there are over 400,000 queer adults, Biden won by just 11,779 votes in 2020. It would be safe to say that a slight increase in Democratic-leaning queer voters could secure victory for Harris. However, it’s not all smooth sailing for the Democratic candidate. Current polling shows that LGBTQ respondents remain undecided or are considering staying home, with about 20% uncertain about their vote. While less than 8% lean toward Trump, disaffected queer Democrats could pose a challenge for Harris. #Queer Up Politics
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